Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling
You, Jianling1; Qin, Xiaoping1; Ranjitkar, Sailesh; Lougheed, Stephen C.3; Wang, Mingcheng2; Zhou, Wen1; Ouyang, Dongxin1; Zhou, Yin1; Xu, Jianchu2; Zhang, Wenju1; Wang, Yuguo1; Yang, Ji1; Song, Zhiping1
2018-04-12
发表期刊SCIENTIFIC REPORTS
ISSN2045-2322
卷号8页码:5879
摘要Climate change profoundly influences species distributions. These effects are evident in poleward latitudinal range shifts for many taxa, and upward altitudinal range shifts for alpine species, that resulted from increased annual global temperatures since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, ca. 22,000 BP). For the latter, the ultimate consequence of upward shifts may be extinction as species in the highest alpine ecosystems can migrate no further, a phenomenon often characterized as "nowhere to go". To predict responses to climate change of the alpine plants on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), we used ecological niche modelling (ENM) to estimate the range shifts of 14 Rhodiola species, beginning with the Last Interglacial (ca. 120,000-140,000 BP) through to 2050. Distributions of Rhodiola species appear to be shaped by temperature-related variables. The southeastern QTP, and especially the Hengduan Mountains, were the origin and center of distribution for Rhodiola, and also served as refugia during the LGM. Under future climate scenario in 2050, Rhodiola species might have to migrate upward and northward, but many species would expand their ranges contra the prediction of the "nowhere to go" hypothesis, caused by the appearance of additional potential habitat concomitant with the reduction of permafrost with climate warming.
语种英语
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.kib.ac.cn/handle/151853/60433
专题植物化学与西部植物资源持续利用国家重点实验室
作者单位1.Fudan Univ, Inst Bot, Inst Biodivers Sci, Minist Educ,Key Lab Biodivers Sci & Ecol Engn, Shanghai 200438, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Kunming Inst Bot, Key Lab Plant Divers & Biogeog East Asia, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China
3.Queens Univ, Dept Biol, Kingston, ON K7L 3N6, Canada
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You, Jianling,Qin, Xiaoping,Ranjitkar, Sailesh,et al. Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling[J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,2018,8:5879.
APA You, Jianling.,Qin, Xiaoping.,Ranjitkar, Sailesh.,Lougheed, Stephen C..,Wang, Mingcheng.,...&Song, Zhiping.(2018).Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling.SCIENTIFIC REPORTS,8,5879.
MLA You, Jianling,et al."Response to climate change of montane herbaceous plants in the genus Rhodiola predicted by ecological niche modelling".SCIENTIFIC REPORTS 8(2018):5879.
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