Current conservation status and potential distribution under climate change of Michelia lacei, a Plant Species with Extremely Small Populations in Yunnan, China

doi:10.1017/S0030605323001783

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	Current conservation status and potential distribution under climate change of Michelia lacei, a Plant Species with Extremely Small Populations in Yunnan, China
	Liu, Yang; Cai, Lei; Sun, Weibang
	2024
发表期刊	ORYX
ISSN	0030-6053
卷号	58 期号:5 页码:631-640
摘要	Michelia lacei W.W. Smith, a magnolia species categorized as Endangered on the IUCN Red List, is subject to severe disturbance. We carried out field surveys and a review of literature records to present a detailed description of the current status of M. lacei. We then predicted the potential distribution of M. lacei under different climatic scenarios based on 60 occurrence records (53 recorded during our field surveys and 7 earlier records) and 19 bioclimatic variables from the WorldClim database. We selected 18 locations and four bioclimatic variables for model training. Temperature seasonality and annual temperature range were the most influential variables for predicting the potential distribution of the species. We used MaxEnt to model distribution under current climate conditions and four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway scenarios in four future time periods to determine the effects of future climate change on the habitat suitable for the species. We predict areas of moderately and highly suitable habitat will gradually decrease over time. We recommend increased in situ and ex situ conservation efforts to mitigate this habitat decline and protect populations of M. lacei.
DOI	10.1017/S0030605323001783
WOS记录号	WOS:001347811400001
引用统计
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.kib.ac.cn/handle/151853/76027
专题	中国科学院昆明植物研究所
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Liu, Yang,Cai, Lei,Sun, Weibang. Current conservation status and potential distribution under climate change of Michelia lacei, a Plant Species with Extremely Small Populations in Yunnan, China[J]. ORYX,2024,58(5):631-640.
APA	Liu, Yang,Cai, Lei,&Sun, Weibang.(2024).Current conservation status and potential distribution under climate change of Michelia lacei, a Plant Species with Extremely Small Populations in Yunnan, China.ORYX,58(5),631-640.
MLA	Liu, Yang,et al."Current conservation status and potential distribution under climate change of Michelia lacei, a Plant Species with Extremely Small Populations in Yunnan, China".ORYX 58.5(2024):631-640.

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