Distributional responses to climate change for alpine species of Cyananthus and Primula endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains

	Distributional responses to climate change for alpine species of Cyananthus and Primula endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains
	He, Xie 1,2,4; Burgess, Kevin S.3; Gao, Lian-Ming2 ; Li, De-Zhu1,2,4
	2019-02-01
发表期刊	PLANT DIVERSITY
ISSN	2096-2703
卷号	41 期号:1 页码:26-32
摘要	Global warming increases the vulnerability of plants, especially alpine herbaceous species, to local extinction. In this study, we collected species distribution information from herbarium specimens for ten selected Cyananthus and Primula alpine species endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains (HHM). Combined with climate data from WorldClim, we used Maximum Entropy Modeling (MaxEnt) to project distributional changes from the current time period to 2070. Our predictions indicate that, under a wide range of climate change scenarios, the distributions of all species will shift upward in elevation and northward in latitude; furthermore, under these scenarios, species will expand the size of their range. For the majority of the species in this study, habitats are available to mitigate upward and northward shifts that are projected to be induced by changing climate. If current climate projections, however, increase in magnitude or continue to increase past our projection dates, suitable habitat for future occupation by alpine species will be limited as we predict range contraction or less range expansion for some of the species under more intensified climate scenarios. Our study not only underscores the value of herbarium source information for future climate model projections but also suggests that future studies on the effects of climate change on alpine species should include additional biotic and abiotic factors to provide greater resolution of the local dynamics associated with species persistence under a warming climate. Copyright (C) 2019 Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences. Publishing services by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
关键词	Global warming MaxEnt Range expansion Alpine species Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains
收录类别	SCI
语种	英语
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://ir.kib.ac.cn/handle/151853/65131
专题	中国西南野生生物种质资源库
通讯作者	Gao, Lian-Ming; Li, De-Zhu
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Kunming Inst Bot, Germplasm Bank Wild Species, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Kunming Inst Bot, CAS Key Lab Plant Divers & Biogeog East Asia, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China 3.Columbus State Univ, Univ Syst Georgia, Coll Letters & Sci, Dept Biol, Columbus, GA 31907 USA 4.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Kunming Coll Life Sci, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	He, Xie,Burgess, Kevin S.,Gao, Lian-Ming,et al. Distributional responses to climate change for alpine species of Cyananthus and Primula endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains[J]. PLANT DIVERSITY,2019,41(1):26-32.
APA	He, Xie,Burgess, Kevin S.,Gao, Lian-Ming,&Li, De-Zhu.(2019).Distributional responses to climate change for alpine species of Cyananthus and Primula endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains.PLANT DIVERSITY,41(1),26-32.
MLA	He, Xie,et al."Distributional responses to climate change for alpine species of Cyananthus and Primula endemic to the Himalaya-Hengduan Mountains".PLANT DIVERSITY 41.1(2019):26-32.

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