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Distributional responses to climate change of two maple species in southern China
Liu,De Tuan; Chen,Jian Ying; Sun,Wei Bang
2023
发表期刊ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION
卷号13期号:9页码:e10490
摘要Climate change is a major factor affecting biodiversity and species distribution, particularly of montane species. Species may respond to climate change by shifting their range to higher elevations. The southeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and the Hengduan Mountains are considered as global biodiversity hotspots. However, information on the response of maple species to climate change in these regions was limited. Therefore, we selected two maple species that occur there and assessed changes in their habitat suitability under past, present and future climate scenarios in Biomod2. The results showed that temperature seasonality (bio4) was the most critical factor influencing their potential distributions. The distribution of potentially suitable habitat for Acer caesium and Acer stachyophyllum was predicted to be larger during the LGM compared to the present. Under the current climate scenario, the largest areas of potentially suitable habitat for these species were mainly located in southeastern Tibet, the Hengduan Mountains in northwestern Yunnan and western Sichuan, the Qinling-Daba Mountains in southern Gansu and the Wumeng-Daliang Mountains in northeastern Yunnan, western Guizhou and southeastern Sichuan. Under future climate change scenarios, the predicted loss of suitable habitat areas for these two species ranged from 13.78% to 45.71% and the increase ranged from 18.88% to 57.98%, with an overall increasing trend. The suitable habitat areas were predicted to shift towards the eastern parts of the QTP under both the pessimistic and optimistic future climate change scenarios in the 2050s and the 2070s, which became evident as global warming intensified, particularly in the eastern QTP and the Hengduan Mountains. Our results highlight the possibility that the diverse topography along altitudinal gradients in the QTP and the Hengduan Mountains may potentially mitigate the range contraction of mountain plants in response to climate warming. These findings provide a basis for planning conservation areas, planting and species conservation in the mountainous areas of southern China under the anticipated global warming.
关键词distribution modelling global warming the Hengduan Mountains the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau QINGHAI-TIBETAN PLATEAU DISTRIBUTION MODELS ALPINE PLANTS DIVERSITY PATTERNS HISTORY SHIFTS
DOI10.1002/ece3.10490
收录类别SCI
WOS记录号WOS:001058455600001
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.kib.ac.cn/handle/151853/75317
专题中国科学院昆明植物研究所
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GB/T 7714
Liu,De Tuan,Chen,Jian Ying,Sun,Wei Bang. Distributional responses to climate change of two maple species in southern China[J]. ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,2023,13(9):e10490.
APA Liu,De Tuan,Chen,Jian Ying,&Sun,Wei Bang.(2023).Distributional responses to climate change of two maple species in southern China.ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION,13(9),e10490.
MLA Liu,De Tuan,et al."Distributional responses to climate change of two maple species in southern China".ECOLOGY AND EVOLUTION 13.9(2023):e10490.
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