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Spatial dynamics of Chinese Muntjac related to past and future climate fluctuations
Sun,Zhonglou; Orozco-terWengel,Pablo; Chen,Guotao; Sun,Ruolei; Sun,Lu; Wang,Hui; Shi,Wenbo; Zhang,Baowei
2021
发表期刊CURRENT ZOOLOGY
ISSN1674-5507
卷号67期号:4页码:361-370
摘要Climate fluctuations in the past and in the future are likely to result in population expansions, shifts, or the contraction of the ecological niche of many species, and potentially leading to the changes in their geographical distributions. Prediction of suitable habitats has been developed as a useful tool for the assessment of habitat suitability and resource conservation to protect wildlife. Here, we model the ancestral demographic history of the extant modern Chinese Muntjac Muntiacus reevesi populations using approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) and used the maximum entropy model to simulate the past and predict the future spatial dynamics of the species under climate oscillations. Our results indicated that the suitable habitats for the M. reevesi shifted to the Southeast and contracted during the Last Glacial Maximum, whereas they covered a broader and more northern position in the Middle Holocene. The ABC analyses revealed that the modern M. reevesi populations diverged in the Middle Holocene coinciding with the significant contraction of the highly suitable habitat areas. Furthermore, our predictions suggest that the potentially suitable environment distribution for the species will expand under all future climate scenarios. These results indicated that the M. reevesi diverged in the recent time after the glacial period and simultaneously as its habitat's expanded in the Middle Holocene. Furthermore, the past and future climate fluctuation triggered the change of Chinese muntjac spatial distribution, which has great influence on the Chinese muntjac's population demographic history.
关键词climate fluctuations Middle Holocene Muntiacus reevesi spatial dynamics suitable habitat HIGH GENETIC DIVERSITY POTENTIAL DISTRIBUTION DABIE MOUNTAINS POPULATION-STRUCTURE ENVIRONMENTAL-CHANGE DEMOGRAPHIC HISTORY RANGE SHIFTS MICROSATELLITE SOFTWARE REVEALS
DOI10.1093/cz/zoaa080
WOS记录号WOS:000684065200001
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.kib.ac.cn/handle/151853/73090
专题中国科学院昆明植物研究所
作者单位1.Anhui Univ, Sch Life Sci, Hefei 230601, Peoples R China
2.Cardiff Univ, Sch Biosci, Cardiff CF103AX, Wales
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Kunming Inst Bot, Key Lab Plant Divers & Biogeog East Asia, Kunming 650201, Yunnan, Peoples R China
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Sun,Zhonglou,Orozco-terWengel,Pablo,Chen,Guotao,et al. Spatial dynamics of Chinese Muntjac related to past and future climate fluctuations[J]. CURRENT ZOOLOGY,2021,67(4):361-370.
APA Sun,Zhonglou.,Orozco-terWengel,Pablo.,Chen,Guotao.,Sun,Ruolei.,Sun,Lu.,...&Zhang,Baowei.(2021).Spatial dynamics of Chinese Muntjac related to past and future climate fluctuations.CURRENT ZOOLOGY,67(4),361-370.
MLA Sun,Zhonglou,et al."Spatial dynamics of Chinese Muntjac related to past and future climate fluctuations".CURRENT ZOOLOGY 67.4(2021):361-370.
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